Paul Higgins (futuristpaul) is creating A forum on electric driverless cars & their disruptive effects
5

patrons

$24
per month
Thank you for visiting my Patron page. I am writing a book on driverless cars with Chris Rice and I wanted to involve people who are interested in the subject in that creative process. Patrons will gain early access to our writing as well as making a contribution to that writing.Patrons will get advanced copies of book chapters as we go along and advanced draft copies of the book in electronic form so they can contribute as we go along.

We are writing this book because autonomous cars will alter our economies and our societies over the next 20 years. They will do so by altering our relationships with cars. The personal motor vehicle has significantly shaped the 100 years since the end of World War 1. Our relationship with our cars has changed our cities and our cultures. We are about to move away from a model where we own cars to a model where cars come to us when we need them. That new relationship will shape the next hundred years. Moving to transport as a service will change the car industry, its supply chain, and its business models. But it will also redesign our urban environment and free up large volumes of disposable spending in our communities. The change will destroy some industries, and spawn new ones.

For technological reasons, some of these changes are still years away. But many of the decisions we need to make will face us well before that. The book is designed to inform decision-makers on the information they need to make decisions, and just as importantly when they need to make them. Each chapter in the third section of the book will tackle a particular area or industry that will be disrupted, detail the strategic decisions that need to be made, and create a set of signposts for decision-makers to look out for.  

The book is in three sections:

Part 1 is designed to examine the background of autonomous vehicles. This includes some basic background about the history of cars using the mapping framework we have used as the basis for the analysis in the book. It also includes the arguments for and against change, and some basic descriptions of the technology involved.

Part 2 dives down into some of the more technical details that are the basis for the technology adoption scenarios we will create. Part 2 also contains several technology adoption scenarios. We have decided to create several scenarios because the current levels of uncertainty make any single forecast useless. We know that producing fancy roadmaps with bold predictions is the way to get headlines and generate consulting income. We also know that the forecasting highway is littered with the bodies of people that do that sort of stuff. It is the height of arrogance to pretend to anticipate all the possible innovations and business models that will arise. So we will create multiple scenarios so decision makers can adjust their thinking as new information comes to light. The scenarios will be used in Part 3 to identify the possible timing of key decisions in every industry we examine.
This is the section of the book that will become dated the most quickly. Therefore, we will be providing regular updates at after publication of the book at a website we will create. This will include updates of the scenarios and changes to the timing points for key decisions.

Part 3 is an examination of the many areas of our societies that will be affected by transport as a service. Each chapter will describe the disruptions in a particular area, and identify key decisions that need to be made. If you are interested in, or involved in a particular sector then you can just look at the chapters you think will affect you. However, we would encourage you to look at all of the chapters because change often comes from unexpected directions or sectors. Chapters include the bus industry, the parking industry, insurance, council and urban design, car dealers, car repairers, convenience stores, and tourism.
 It is my privilege to work as a futurist in an exciting world of big ideas. If writing this book makes a small contribution to better strategies and better communities then I will be well pleased. I hope that you will come along and support us in our venture, and make a contribution to our writing.

Paul Higgins

December 2017


Tiers
Driverless Car Enthusiasts
$1 or more per month
You don't want to participate in the creative process but you would like to support our efforts. You will be able to view the public posts.
Driverless Car Fan Club
$2 or more per month
You want to participate in the creative process by reviewing our writing as we go along and getting early access to our thinking. You will get chapters as we complete them so you can contribute and get early access to our thinking
Driverless Car Early Adopters
$5 or more per month
You want to participate in the creative process by reviewing our writing as we go along and getting early access to our thinking. You will receive a first draft of the book to participate in the editing process as well as the individual chapters reward at the $2 level. You will also receive a free copy of the book when it is published.
Driverless Car fanatics
$10 or more per month
You want to participate in the creative process by reviewing our writing as we go along and getting early access to our thinking. You will receive a first draft of the book to participate in the editing process as well as our other rewards. Your will also receive a free copy of the book when it is published and three free copies you can distribute to your friends and colleagues
Driverless Car Visionaries
$50 or more per month only 20 left
You get all the other rewards and priority booking at half price for a conference presentation from Paul Higgins when the book is complete. A saving of $2,300 - $2950
Goals
$24 of $500 per month
When I reach $500 a month I will host webinars for 10 patrons at a time to ask questions and discuss the possibilities for driverless car disruption.
1 of 1
Thank you for visiting my Patron page. I am writing a book on driverless cars with Chris Rice and I wanted to involve people who are interested in the subject in that creative process. Patrons will gain early access to our writing as well as making a contribution to that writing.Patrons will get advanced copies of book chapters as we go along and advanced draft copies of the book in electronic form so they can contribute as we go along.

We are writing this book because autonomous cars will alter our economies and our societies over the next 20 years. They will do so by altering our relationships with cars. The personal motor vehicle has significantly shaped the 100 years since the end of World War 1. Our relationship with our cars has changed our cities and our cultures. We are about to move away from a model where we own cars to a model where cars come to us when we need them. That new relationship will shape the next hundred years. Moving to transport as a service will change the car industry, its supply chain, and its business models. But it will also redesign our urban environment and free up large volumes of disposable spending in our communities. The change will destroy some industries, and spawn new ones.

For technological reasons, some of these changes are still years away. But many of the decisions we need to make will face us well before that. The book is designed to inform decision-makers on the information they need to make decisions, and just as importantly when they need to make them. Each chapter in the third section of the book will tackle a particular area or industry that will be disrupted, detail the strategic decisions that need to be made, and create a set of signposts for decision-makers to look out for.  

The book is in three sections:

Part 1 is designed to examine the background of autonomous vehicles. This includes some basic background about the history of cars using the mapping framework we have used as the basis for the analysis in the book. It also includes the arguments for and against change, and some basic descriptions of the technology involved.

Part 2 dives down into some of the more technical details that are the basis for the technology adoption scenarios we will create. Part 2 also contains several technology adoption scenarios. We have decided to create several scenarios because the current levels of uncertainty make any single forecast useless. We know that producing fancy roadmaps with bold predictions is the way to get headlines and generate consulting income. We also know that the forecasting highway is littered with the bodies of people that do that sort of stuff. It is the height of arrogance to pretend to anticipate all the possible innovations and business models that will arise. So we will create multiple scenarios so decision makers can adjust their thinking as new information comes to light. The scenarios will be used in Part 3 to identify the possible timing of key decisions in every industry we examine.
This is the section of the book that will become dated the most quickly. Therefore, we will be providing regular updates at after publication of the book at a website we will create. This will include updates of the scenarios and changes to the timing points for key decisions.

Part 3 is an examination of the many areas of our societies that will be affected by transport as a service. Each chapter will describe the disruptions in a particular area, and identify key decisions that need to be made. If you are interested in, or involved in a particular sector then you can just look at the chapters you think will affect you. However, we would encourage you to look at all of the chapters because change often comes from unexpected directions or sectors. Chapters include the bus industry, the parking industry, insurance, council and urban design, car dealers, car repairers, convenience stores, and tourism.
 It is my privilege to work as a futurist in an exciting world of big ideas. If writing this book makes a small contribution to better strategies and better communities then I will be well pleased. I hope that you will come along and support us in our venture, and make a contribution to our writing.

Paul Higgins

December 2017


Recent posts by Paul Higgins (futuristpaul)

Tiers
Driverless Car Enthusiasts
$1 or more per month
You don't want to participate in the creative process but you would like to support our efforts. You will be able to view the public posts.
Driverless Car Fan Club
$2 or more per month
You want to participate in the creative process by reviewing our writing as we go along and getting early access to our thinking. You will get chapters as we complete them so you can contribute and get early access to our thinking
Driverless Car Early Adopters
$5 or more per month
You want to participate in the creative process by reviewing our writing as we go along and getting early access to our thinking. You will receive a first draft of the book to participate in the editing process as well as the individual chapters reward at the $2 level. You will also receive a free copy of the book when it is published.
Driverless Car fanatics
$10 or more per month
You want to participate in the creative process by reviewing our writing as we go along and getting early access to our thinking. You will receive a first draft of the book to participate in the editing process as well as our other rewards. Your will also receive a free copy of the book when it is published and three free copies you can distribute to your friends and colleagues
Driverless Car Visionaries
$50 or more per month only 20 left
You get all the other rewards and priority booking at half price for a conference presentation from Paul Higgins when the book is complete. A saving of $2,300 - $2950